Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 9.163733 10.692869 12.364476 14.322982 16.549991 18.998686 21.889968
2026-01-18 6.602910 8.673579 11.174061 14.393724 18.404860 23.210867 29.375698
2026-01-25 4.938666 7.146999 10.036473 14.044383 19.401580 26.250117 35.590580
2026-02-01 3.844339 6.049290 9.139052 13.700820 20.162353 28.868011 41.337278
2026-02-08 3.003781 5.105092 8.239119 13.132221 20.426623 30.713485 46.080510
2026-02-15 2.408031 4.396007 7.535904 12.692753 20.739614 32.554150 50.863573
2026-02-22 2.109987 4.099231 7.400249 13.060414 22.238476 36.173188 58.432283
2026-03-01 1.871389 3.854670 7.300839 13.449178 23.774087 39.931889 66.452274
2026-03-08 1.549360 3.396874 6.767324 13.035541 23.950380 41.570442 71.301672
2026-03-15 1.303483 3.034790 6.343473 12.742764 24.269719 43.421186 76.568528
2026-03-22 1.211612 2.963634 6.441121 13.383005 26.230720 48.069821 86.634778
2026-03-29 1.107227 2.846168 6.430688 13.813789 27.846548 52.237703 96.155913
2026-04-05 0.962230 2.625231 6.210930 13.874046 28.899059 55.699265 105.051340
2026-04-12 0.832115 2.414359 5.986758 13.912370 29.945067 59.289652 114.543169
2026-04-19 0.693553 2.149575 5.601751 13.567483 30.213689 61.503332 121.780328
2026-04-26 0.579278 1.917621 5.247880 13.233104 30.453611 63.661689 129.045222
2026-05-03 0.472189 1.675556 4.824834 12.681477 30.179003 64.809134 134.509861
2026-05-10 0.389921 1.481330 4.481066 12.255318 30.108400 66.320474 140.728429
2026-05-17 0.354648 1.422203 4.471469 12.611796 31.752988 71.315417 153.900282
2026-05-24 0.324037 1.369983 4.471018 12.988783 33.474917 76.580667 167.914365
2026-05-31 0.269892 1.220719 4.175809 12.587676 33.395340 78.155712 174.752329
2026-06-07 0.227875 1.100849 3.940332 12.303797 33.550253 80.216274 182.674448
2026-06-14 0.216371 1.094274 4.040820 12.924612 35.905025 87.094893 200.795605